PERSISTENCE AND AGE ARE NOT INCAPACITY: LULA, LINCOLN AND THE CASE FOR ATIKU’S LAST PRESIDENTIAL BID

Alex Ter Adum, PhD

If an 81-year-old Brazilian can persistently contest the presidency, lose three times and eventually secure an unprecedented fourth, non-consecutive presidential term at 81, why should Atiku Abubakar be written off because of age and his persistent contest for thethe Nigerian presidency?

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva’s political journey is a powerful illustration of perseverance, political conviction and the electorate’s ultimate authority to decide who should lead. Lula contested Brazil’s presidency in 1989, 1994 and 1998, losing all three times. He finally won in 2002, was re-elected in 2006, lost in 2010, returned to power in 2022 and has now secured another victory in 2026. He has won four of seven presidential contests.

What makes Lula’s story remarkable is not merely his age. It is that he refused to allow repeated electoral defeats to extinguish his ambition. He persisted, returned to the electorate and ultimately earned another mandate. His fourth victory represents the democratic validation of his continued political struggles, relevance and determination to lead Brazil.

Lula’s example does not mean that every persistent politician wins the presidency or that age and experience guarantee a successful presidential run. But neither should age, repeated defeats or the number of attempts automatically disqualify a candidate. The decisive questions are capacity, health, judgment, vision, policies, integrity and the willingness of the electorate to entrust that person with power.

This is precisely where the argument about Atiku Abubakar becomes relevant.

Atiku is preparing for what he has described as his last attempt at the Nigerian presidency in 2027. He has pursued the office through several party primaries and appeared on the presidential ballot in 2007, 2019 and 2023. His 2027 ambition represents another chapter in a long political journey.

Like Lula, Atiku has refused to abandon his presidential ambition after successive disappointments. His admirers and a significant number of Nigerians regard this persistence as evidence of an enduring commitment to serve the nation in the highest office and an opportunity to put his experience and programmes before Nigerians one final time.

The comparison also evokes Abraham Lincoln, who endured political setbacks before becoming President of the United States. His journey reminds us that political defeat need not be the final verdict on a person’s public career. However, the circumstances of each leader are different; the useful parallel is perseverance in the face of setbacks, not an assumption that persistence alone guarantees merit or success.

The argument against Atiku on the sole ground of age is therefore insufficient. At 79, he is younger than Lula, who is 81 following his 2026 victory. Neither man’s age, by itself, establishes diminished mental acuity or incapacity. Such questions must be considered on individual evidence, not speculation, stereotypes or partisan convenience.

There is, moreover, a historical grievance that continues to animate Atiku’s supporters. Many believe that he was denied the presidency through electoral manipulation in 1999 and again in 2023. Those are serious allegations that should be distinguished from independently established findings, but they form part of the political narrative through which his supporters understand his continued quest for the presidency.

For these Nigerians, the 2027 election is not simply another contest. It is an opportunity for Atiku to make one final appeal to the electorate, present his vision for national recovery and seek the mandate that his supporters believe has eluded him.

Ultimately, however, it is not the persistence of a candidate that confers a democratic mandate. It is the freely expressed will of the voters.

Nigeria should therefore debate Atiku’s economic recovery proposals, his plans for national security, his approach to employment, the cost-of-living crisis, education, healthcare and institutional reform. Nigerians should also scrutinise his health and capacity, as they should those of every presidential contenders. What should be rejected is the presumption that a person is incapable simply because of persistence and age.

Lula’s journey demonstrates that a political career need not end merely because a candidate has grown older or suffered previous defeats. Atiku’s final bid deserves to be examined on its own merits, without age-based prejudice and without any presumption that age, experience or perseverance guarantees are limiting factors.

Atiku wants his day in the sun. His supporters believe that 2027 should give Nigerians the opportunity to decide whether that day has come. The final judgment belongs to the electorate, not to ageist assumptions, political gatekeepers or commentators who would substitute their preferences for the people’s choice.

Alex Ter Adum, PhD

DDG, The Narrative Force

#AgeIsNotIncapacity #Atiku2027 #LulaDaSilva #Democracy #ThePeoplesChoice

Aare Amerijoye Donald Olalekan Temitope Bowofade (DOT.B) is a Nigerian political strategist, public intellectual, and writer. He serves as the Director-General of The Narrative Force (TNF), a strategic communication and political-education organisation committed to shaping ideas, narratives, and democratic consciousness in Nigeria. An indigene of Ekiti State, he was born in Osogbo, then Oyo State, now Osun State, and currently resides in Ekiti State. His political and civic engagement spans several decades. In the 1990s, he was actively involved in Nigeria’s human-rights and pro-democracy struggles, participating in organisations such as Human Rights Africa and the Nigerianity Movement among many others, where he worked under the leadership of Dr. Tunji Abayomi during the nation’s fight for democratic restoration. Between 2000 and 2002, he served as Assistant Organising Secretary of Ekiti Progressives and the Femi Falana Front, under Barrister Femi Falana (SAN), playing a key role in grassroots mobilisation, civic education, and progressive political advocacy. He has since served in government and party politics in various capacities, including Senior Special Assistant to the Ekiti State Governor on Political Matters and Inter-Party Relations, Secretary to the Local Government, and Special Assistant on Youth Mobilisation and Strategy. At the national level, he has been a member of various nationally constituted party and electoral committees, including the PDP Presidential Campaign Council Security Committee (2022) and the Ondo State 2024 election committee. Currently, he is a member of the African Democratic Congress (ADC) and serves as Secretary of the Ekiti State ADC Strategic Committee, where he plays a central role in party structuring, strategy, and grassroots coordination. Aare Amerijoye writes extensively on governance, leadership ethics, party politics, and national renewal. His essays and commentaries have been published in Nigerian Tribune, Punch, The Guardian, THISDAY, TheCable, and leading digital platforms. His work blends philosophical depth with strategic clarity, advancing principled politics anchored on truth, justice, and moral courage.

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