Aare Amerijoye DOT.B.
THIS IS WAR AND THE PEOPLE ARE ARMED WITH TRUTH.
On this day, 28 February 2026, The Narrative Force serves formal notice of termination to President Bola Ahmed Tinubu, his 30 APC governors, every minister collecting salary while Nigerians starve, every presidential aide aiding nobody but themselves, every contractor delivering dust, every legislative profiteer voting themselves billions while constituents eat once a day, and every party financier whose investment in APC is being repaid with the blood of ordinary Nigerians.
Nigeria’s National Bureau of Statistics additionally confirmed in its 2025 Welfare and Living Conditions Update that over 75.5% of rural Nigerians and 41.3% of urban Nigerians now experience food insecurity, the highest combined food stress level ever recorded since independence.
Your time is up. Your empire is ending. Your reckoning has arrived.
Because 133,770,040 suffering Nigerians, the exact population living in multidimensional poverty according to the UNDP and Nigeria’s own National Bureau of Statistics, have reached the absolute, irreversible, explosive end of their tolerance.
The World Bank’s 2025 Nigeria Development Update further confirmed that an additional 12 million Nigerians fell into poverty between 2023 and 2025 alone, bringing the total number of poor Nigerians to levels never seen in the nation’s recorded economic history.
One hundred and thirty-three million, seven hundred and seventy thousand and forty human beings. That is ADC’s army. And that army is already at the gates.
Nigeria’s total voting-age population now exceeds 115 million citizens, meaning the suffering population alone is larger than the entire registered voter register, confirming that the electoral balance of power is structurally aligned against the present governing establishment.
WHO IS BOLA AHMED TINUBU, REALLY?
Tinubu was sold to Nigeria as The Jagaban, the inevitable president, the political genius without equal. He presented entitlement as qualification, political longevity as competence, and the ability to win elections as the ability to govern a nation.
Winning elections and governing a nation are not the same skill. A man who can buy votes cannot balance a budget. A man who can intimidate opponents cannot intimidate inflation.
His very first act as president on 29 May 2023 was to announce the removal of fuel subsidies in two improvised words from an inauguration podium with no preparation, no social safety net, no transition plan, and no protection for 220 million people.
Subsidy is gone.
Petrol exploded from ₦184 to over ₦1,200 per litre overnight, though now fluctuating between ₦850 to ₦900 depending on location.
According to the Major Energy Marketers Association of Nigeria, national average transport fares increased by 187% between June 2023 and January 2026, while food transport logistics costs increased by over 240%, directly feeding inflation.
Transportation costs tripled. Food prices followed within 72 hours.
Nigeria’s food price index rose by over 310% between May 2023 and February 2026, according to the National Bureau of Statistics food price tracking dashboard.
This was the deliberate, criminally negligent policy violence of a man who has never stood in a fuel queue, never worried about transport fare, never calculated whether this week’s salary covers this week’s food.
Tinubu kicked Nigeria when it was already on its knees. Then he adjusted his cap and called it reform.
Court records in the United States confirm that Tinubu entered into a civil asset forfeiture agreement with the American government in 1993, surrendering $460,000 connected to a drug trafficking investigation. It is a court record. Stamped. Filed. Publicly available. Internationally verified. The Nigerian people were never given a satisfactory explanation of how a man with this documented history became president of Africa’s most populous nation.
THE TINUBU ECONOMY: MEASURING DELIBERATE SUFFERING.
When Tinubu took office in May 2023, the naira traded at ₦460 to $1. By February 2026, it had collapsed beyond ₦1,400 to $1.
The Central Bank of Nigeria’s own data confirms the naira at one point crossed ₦1,520 per dollar in the parallel market in early 2025, representing the weakest currency valuation ever recorded in Nigerian history.
That is a 257.4% devaluation in less than three years.
Nigeria’s external reserves simultaneously fell from $37.07 billion in June 2023 to below $32 billion by late 2025, despite aggressive foreign borrowing.
Tinubu has destroyed more naira value in 33 months than was destroyed in multiple previous decades of Nigerian economic history combined.
The National Bureau of Statistics, Tinubu’s own government agency, confirmed headline inflation at 34.80% in December 2024, with food inflation at a savage 39.84%.
By mid-2025, food inflation crossed 42.1%, the highest food inflation ever recorded in Nigeria’s modern statistical history.
A basket of food that cost a Nigerian family ₦50,000 per month in May 2023 now costs over ₦120,000 in 2024 and in 2025 December ₦75,000.
The Food and Agriculture Organisation additionally confirmed Nigeria became the country with the highest food inflation rate in Sub-Saharan Africa in 2025.
On salaries that have not moved. On pensions rendered worthless by currency collapse.
When garri becomes a luxury item, Nigeria has not experienced economic difficulty. Nigeria has experienced a governance crime.
Tinubu’s palliative response to the mass suffering his own policy created was ₦8,000 per month, approximately $5 at the exchange rate his own government engineered.
Five American dollars.
The World Bank confirmed Nigeria’s cash transfer programme covered less than 18% of targeted poor households, leaving over 80% without support.
As compensation for multiplying the cost of living by factors of three and four.
That is Tinubu’s valuation of a Nigerian life in poverty.
Nigeria’s total public debt stands at $113.4 billion.
Nigeria’s public debt has now crossed ₦121 trillion in naira terms, according to the Debt Management Office 2025 report.
Debt servicing consumed over 98.7% of federal revenue in the first quarter of 2025 alone, the highest ratio ever recorded.
Tinubu is not governing Nigeria for Nigerians. He is consuming Nigeria’s future to finance the present comfort of a governing class that will never be held accountable for the destruction it is causing.
THE ELECTORAL DEATH-BLOW: THE MATHEMATICS OF INEVITABLE DEFEAT
In 2023, Bola Ahmed Tinubu did not win a majority mandate of Nigerians. He secured 8,794,726 votes, representing only 36.61% of total votes cast.
Against him stood a divided opposition.
Atiku Abubakar secured 6,984,520 votes.
Peter Obi secured 6,101,533 votes.
Rabiu Musa Kwankwaso secured 1,496,687 votes.
Combined, the opposition secured:
14,582,740 votes.
That is 5,788,014 more votes than Tinubu received.
Tinubu lost the popular resistance by a margin large enough to decide any democratic election where opposition unity exists.
But the deeper death-blow lies not only in votes.
It lies in polling units.
Nigeria has 176,846 polling units.
Tinubu won 68,584 polling units.
Atiku Abubakar alone won 61,894 polling units.
Peter Obi won 47,140 polling units.
Rabiu Musa Kwankwaso won 3,906 polling units.
Combined opposition polling units:
112,940 polling units.
That is 44,356 more polling units than Tinubu.
In territorial democratic mathematics, Tinubu governed less Nigeria than the opposition represented.
He occupied office.
But he did not occupy national consensus.
This electoral reality has only worsened since 2023.
Since taking office, Tinubu’s approval rating has fallen below 23% nationally, according to multiple independent Nigerian public opinion tracking surveys conducted between 2025 and 2026.
Meanwhile, over 72% of Nigerians now say they are worse off economically than they were before May 2023.
This is not an incumbency advantage.
It is an incumbency collapse.
WHY TINUBU, THE 30 GOVERNORS AND ALL PROFITEERS WILL FALL.
Nigeria has 93.4 million registered voters.
INEC’s 2025 register update confirmed over 12 million new young voters are expected to be added before 2027, the largest youth voter expansion in Nigerian electoral history.
Nigeria also recorded over 33.3% youth unemployment and 53.4% youth underemployment, according to the National Bureau of Statistics.
ADC must match APC’s ground-level organisation ward by ward, polling unit by polling unit, across Nigeria’s 176,846 polling units and 8,809 wards, media war from media war.
When ADC achieves this organisational depth, the same electoral mathematics that denied Tinubu a true national majority in 2023 will become the instrument of democratic correction in 2027.
THE SENTENCE OF HISTORY IS PRONOUNCED.
Bola Ahmed Tinubu, you came to power declaring yourself inevitable. You have made suffering inevitable instead.
History has already conducted the first audit of your presidency.
And history has already delivered its preliminary verdict.
You are not the Jagaban.
You are the interruption.
And interruptions end.
The reckoning is here.
And its name is ADC.
Aare Amerijoye DOT.B
Director General,
The Narrative Force
