THE GREAT DIVIDE: WHY TINUBU IS FAILING WHERE ATIKU WOULD HAVE SOARED.

A Nation Held Hostage by Cronyism While Merit Bleeds Out

Aare Amerijoye DOT.B.

NIGERIA IS ON FIRE.

Not metaphorically. Not as rhetorical exaggeration. Literally ,economically, socially, and institutionally , this nation is burning, and the man entrusted with the national hose appears more preoccupied with watering his private garden.

The comparison many within the corridors of power would prefer Nigerians never make is this: Atiku Abubakar, as Vice President under President Olusegun Obasanjo, reached across continents and oceans to pull some of Nigeria’s finest minds out of London, Washington, Houston, and Toronto, and place them at the service of their country.

Many of them were strangers to him personally. They owed him no political debt. They had built comfortable lives abroad. Yet they were invited home, not because of loyalty, but because of competence. Not because of proximity, but because of capacity. He recruited them on merit, on reputation, and on demonstrable intellectual value, and integrated them into the engine room of Nigeria’s economic reform.

By contrast, Bola Ahmed Tinubu’s governing architecture has reflected a different organising principle. Familiar names. Long-standing associates. Political loyalists. Individuals whose greatest credential, fairly or unfairly perceived, is longstanding proximity to power.

That difference in philosophy is not cosmetic. It is consequential.

THE ATIKU MODEL: MERIT WITHOUT SENTIMENT

The record is clear. As Vice President and Chairman of the National Economic Council, Atiku Abubakar embraced an approach uncommon in Nigerian political tradition: he prioritised what individuals could deliver over what they had done for him personally.

Technocrats, economists, and policy specialists, many from the diaspora, were brought into public service to help design and execute reforms that would later underpin Nigeria’s period of strongest economic expansion in the democratic era.

This approach was not without political risk. Leaders who reach beyond their loyal circles expose themselves to dissent, disagreement, and even betrayal. But great leadership has never been about comfort. It has been about results.

Atiku understood a truth many political establishments resist: when loyalty becomes the primary currency of recruitment, performance becomes the first casualty.

THE TINUBU SYSTEM: WHEN LOYALTY OVERSHADOWS COMPETENCE.

Since May 29, 2023, Nigerians have witnessed a governing structure shaped, in large part, by political familiarity and long-standing alliances.

At the same time, Nigerians have endured severe economic strain. The naira has depreciated dramatically. Inflation has eroded purchasing power. Food prices have surged beyond the reach of millions. Energy costs have multiplied. The cost-of-living crisis has become the defining experience of ordinary citizens.

Correlation does not automatically prove causation. But leadership philosophy inevitably shapes leadership outcomes.

Governments built primarily on political obligation often struggle to deliver national transformation.

When competence is secondary, consequences are primary.

THE CONSEQUENCES ARE NOT ABSTRACT.

Leadership decisions do not live in policy papers. They live in the daily reality of citizens.

They live in the trader in Onitsha whose capital evaporates under inflation.
They live in the graduate in Kano whose degree gathers dust.
They live in the family in Ibadan forced to choose between food and fuel.

Leadership philosophy is not theory. It is lived experience.

Atiku’s demonstrated willingness to recruit broadly, to search globally, and to empower competence represented one governing model.

Tinubu’s current governing structure reflects another.

Nigeria is living the difference.

NIGERIA’S FUTURE REMAINS UNWRITTEN

Nations are not prisoners of their present. They are products of their choices.

Nigeria’s current hardship is not inevitable. It is the outcome of decisions. And decisions can be revised. Leadership can be reimagined. Direction can be corrected.

There remains, in millions of Nigerians, a stubborn refusal to accept decline as destiny.

They remember that governance, while never perfect, can be purposeful. That leadership can prioritise national advancement over personal networks. That competence can still triumph over convenience.

And they continue to believe that Nigeria can yet be led by those who ask, first and always:

Not “Who stood with me?”

But “Who can lift this nation?”

The distance between national stagnation and national progress is often determined by a single leadership choice: whether to reward loyalty or to reward competence.

Aare Amerijoye DOT.B
Director-General,
The Narrative Force

Aare Amerijoye Donald Olalekan Temitope Bowofade (DOT.B) is a Nigerian political strategist, public intellectual, and writer. He serves as the Director-General of The Narrative Force (TNF), a strategic communication and political-education organisation committed to shaping ideas, narratives, and democratic consciousness in Nigeria. An indigene of Ekiti State, he was born in Osogbo, then Oyo State, now Osun State, and currently resides in Ekiti State. His political and civic engagement spans several decades. In the 1990s, he was actively involved in Nigeria’s human-rights and pro-democracy struggles, participating in organisations such as Human Rights Africa and the Nigerianity Movement among many others, where he worked under the leadership of Dr. Tunji Abayomi during the nation’s fight for democratic restoration. Between 2000 and 2002, he served as Assistant Organising Secretary of Ekiti Progressives and the Femi Falana Front, under Barrister Femi Falana (SAN), playing a key role in grassroots mobilisation, civic education, and progressive political advocacy. He has since served in government and party politics in various capacities, including Senior Special Assistant to the Ekiti State Governor on Political Matters and Inter-Party Relations, Secretary to the Local Government, and Special Assistant on Youth Mobilisation and Strategy. At the national level, he has been a member of various nationally constituted party and electoral committees, including the PDP Presidential Campaign Council Security Committee (2022) and the Ondo State 2024 election committee. Currently, he is a member of the African Democratic Congress (ADC) and serves as Secretary of the Ekiti State ADC Strategic Committee, where he plays a central role in party structuring, strategy, and grassroots coordination. Aare Amerijoye writes extensively on governance, leadership ethics, party politics, and national renewal. His essays and commentaries have been published in Nigerian Tribune, Punch, The Guardian, THISDAY, TheCable, and leading digital platforms. His work blends philosophical depth with strategic clarity, advancing principled politics anchored on truth, justice, and moral courage.

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